North Melbourne v Sydney
2025-04-05 19:35:00 +11:00
Docklands

8.4

52

18.9

117

Sydney won by 65 points

IN

Whitlock

Hardeman

Logue

Phillips

Pink

O'Sullivan

OUT

IN

Cleary

Papley

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	15 points	✓	49.8	0.37
Aggregate		64%	14 points	✓	50.7	0.36
		81%	31 points	✓	34.0	0.70
		81%	34 points	✓	31.0	0.70
		78%	28 points	✓	37.0	0.64
		74%	31 points	✓	34.0	0.57
		72%	19 points	✓	45.9	0.54
		72%	19 points	✓	46.4	0.52
		70%	27 points	✓	38.0	0.48
		70%	21 points	✓	43.7	0.48
		69%	20 points	✓	45.1	0.47
		68%	17 points	✓	47.6	0.44
		66%	17 points	✓	48.0	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	50.5	0.39
		64%	13 points	✓	52.1	0.36
		64%	13 points	✓	52.0	0.36
		62%	10 points	✓	55.0	0.31
		62%	11 points	✓	53.9	0.30
		59%	8 points	✓	57.4	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	56.2	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	58.5	0.22
		58%	7 points	✓	58.4	0.20
Punters		55%	6 points	✓	58.7	0.15
		55%	5 points	✓	60.4	0.14
		53%	3 points	✓	62.1	0.08
		52%	1 point	✓	63.7	0.05
		51%	1 point	✓	64.5	0.02
		50%	0 points	✓	64.8	0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.