Port Adelaide v St Kilda
Adelaide Oval
10.12
72
13.11
89
St Kilda won by 17 points
IN
Lord
Jones
Butters
Boak
Soldo
Cochrane
OUT
IN
Stocker
O'Connell
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.32 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 26.7 | -0.33 |
|
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
68% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.4 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 32.3 | -0.61 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.8 | -0.59 |
|
Punters
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.53 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.7 | -0.49 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 29.8 | -0.45 |
|
|
62% | 16 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 27.3 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 27.9 | -0.40 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 26.8 | -0.28 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 25.7 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.6 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.