Gold Coast v Adelaide
Carrara
13.13
91
14.6
90
Gold Coast won by 1 point
IN
Ainsworth
Holman
OUT
IN
Nankervis
Murphy
Rachele
Crouch
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.3 | 0.23 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.20 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.42 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 14.3 | 0.41 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.35 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 11.1 | 0.33 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.4 | 0.32 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.9 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.4 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.27 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.1 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.21 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.9 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.4 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.13 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.1 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.4 | -0.05 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.