Geelong v Melbourne
2025-04-04 19:40:00 +11:00
Kardinia Park

12.13

85

6.10

46

Geelong won by 39 points

IN

Mannagh

Stanley

Stewart

Blicavs

Clark

Knevitt

OUT

IN

Spargo

Turner

Windsor

Pickett

Billings

Howes

Lindsay

Johnson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		79%	29 points	✓	9.5	0.67
Aggregate		79%	30 points	✓	9.4	0.67
		89%	46 points	✓	7.0	0.83
		88%	37 points	✓	2.0	0.81
		86%	30 points	✓	8.7	0.78
		85%	31 points	✓	8.0	0.77
		85%	39 points	✓	0.0	0.77
		85%	40 points	✓	1.2	0.76
		85%	36 points	✓	3.0	0.76
		84%	37 points	✓	2.1	0.75
		84%	30 points	✓	8.8	0.75
		83%	35 points	✓	4.4	0.74
		82%	32 points	✓	6.8	0.71
		82%	36 points	✓	2.6	0.71
Punters		82%	29 points	✓	9.7	0.71
		81%	30 points	✓	8.8	0.69
		81%	29 points	✓	10.2	0.69
		81%	29 points	✓	10.5	0.69
		78%	29 points	✓	10.3	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	14.0	0.64
		76%	23 points	✓	15.6	0.60
		74%	21 points	✓	18.0	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	18.3	0.57
		74%	30 points	✓	9.0	0.57
		73%	23 points	✓	16.0	0.55
		70%	25 points	✓	14.0	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	22.0	0.46
		60%	10 points	✓	29.4	0.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.