Richmond v Brisbane Lions @ M.C.G.

13.12

18.10

118

Brisbane Lions won by 28 points

Banks

Mansell

OUT

McLachlan

McInerney

Lohmann

Fort

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	83%	36 points	✓	8.4	0.73
Aggregate	84%	37 points	✓	8.8	0.74
	95%	66 points	✓	38.0	0.93
	93%	44 points	✓	15.6	0.89
	91%	48 points	✓	20.0	0.86
Punters	91%	48 points	✓	19.5	0.86
	90%	47 points	✓	18.9	0.85
	90%	43 points	✓	14.6	0.85
	88%	44 points	✓	15.6	0.82
	88%	37 points	✓	8.7	0.82
	88%	46 points	✓	18.0	0.81
	87%	41 points	✓	12.8	0.80
	87%	40 points	✓	12.0	0.80
	86%	39 points	✓	11.0	0.79
	86%	40 points	✓	12.0	0.78
	84%	37 points	✓	9.1	0.75
	83%	32 points	✓	3.9	0.74
	83%	31 points	✓	2.7	0.73
	81%	38 points	✓	10.0	0.70
	81%	29 points	✓	1.0	0.69
	81%	31 points	✓	2.5	0.69
	80%	41 points	✓	13.0	0.68
	79%	23 points	✓	5.0	0.67
	78%	30 points	✓	1.6	0.64
	78%	27 points	✓	1.2	0.64
	77%	25 points	✓	2.6	0.62
	73%	28 points	✓	0.4	0.55
	56%	6 points	✓	22.1	0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.