Richmond v St Kilda
2024-08-11 15:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

7.9

51

15.9

99

St Kilda won by 48 points

IN

Smith

Dow

Ryan

Graham

Martin

Baker

Brown

Green

OUT

IN

Byrnes

Clark

Phillipou

Bonner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	20 points	✓	27.6	0.51
Aggregate		71%	19 points	✓	28.7	0.50
		81%	23 points	✓	25.2	0.70
		80%	24 points	✓	24.1	0.68
		79%	28 points	✓	20.0	0.66
		77%	31 points	✓	17.3	0.63
		77%	28 points	✓	20.0	0.62
Punters		76%	24 points	✓	24.0	0.61
		75%	22 points	✓	26.5	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	26.8	0.57
		73%	22 points	✓	26.2	0.55
		72%	22 points	✓	26.5	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	29.0	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	29.0	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	28.5	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	29.0	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	31.1	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	29.9	0.49
		70%	25 points	✓	23.0	0.48
		70%	15 points	✓	33.5	0.48
		69%	15 points	✓	32.6	0.47
		68%	12 points	✓	36.2	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	29.0	0.44
		68%	16 points	✓	32.5	0.43
		67%	23 points	✓	25.0	0.43
		66%	16 points	✓	32.0	0.41
		64%	13 points	✓	35.0	0.36
		64%	13 points	✓	34.8	0.35
		62%	11 points	✓	37.5	0.31
		58%	8 points	✓	40.4	0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.