Carlton v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
5.8
38
16.16
112
Hawthorn won by 74 points
IN
Cowan
Cerra
OUT
IN
Morrison
Mackenzie
Ward
Jiath
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 75.1 | -0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 75.6 | -0.05 |
|
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 87.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 83.0 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 83.5 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 81.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 82.9 | -0.34 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 84.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 83.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 80.7 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 81.7 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 78.9 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 78.6 | -0.17 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 76.3 | -0.10 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 75.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 75.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 74.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 74.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 74.7 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 72.8 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✓ | 74.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 72.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 71.7 | 0.06 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 69.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 70.4 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 10 points | ✓ | 63.9 | 0.14 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 69.1 | 0.16 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 68.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 67.0 | 0.23 |
|
|
65% | 9 points | ✓ | 65.0 | 0.38 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.