Essendon v Gold Coast
Docklands
12.14
86
13.9
87
Gold Coast won by 1 point
IN
Caddy
Hobbs
Duursma
Roberts
OUT
IN
Walter
Budarick
Lemmens
Davies
Lukosius
Fiorini
Rosas
Johnston
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.4 | -0.33 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.25 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 13.7 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 13.3 | -0.48 |
|
Punters
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 12.8 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 12.8 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 10.0 | -0.35 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 9.6 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.3 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 6.6 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 4.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.4 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.3 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.1 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 2.7 | -0.09 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.03 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.