Brisbane Lions v Greater Western Sydney
Gabba
8.16
64
13.4
82
Greater Western Sydney won by 18 points
IN
Joyce
Reville
OUT
IN
Stone
Keeffe
Kelly
Briggs
McMullin
Fonti
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
73% | 23 points | ✗ | 41.1 | -0.89 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✗ | 40.5 | -0.91 |
|
|
86% | 37 points | ✗ | 55.4 | -1.81 |
|
|
84% | 38 points | ✗ | 56.4 | -1.67 |
|
|
81% | 31 points | ✗ | 49.2 | -1.43 |
|
|
81% | 28 points | ✗ | 46.3 | -1.37 |
|
|
81% | 28 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -1.36 |
|
|
79% | 29 points | ✗ | 47.3 | -1.28 |
|
|
78% | 27 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -1.20 |
|
|
77% | 27 points | ✗ | 45.4 | -1.15 |
|
|
76% | 26 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -1.06 |
|
|
76% | 24 points | ✗ | 42.5 | -1.05 |
|
|
76% | 27 points | ✗ | 44.9 | -1.03 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 40.8 | -0.99 |
|
Punters
|
|
74% | 23 points | ✗ | 40.8 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.96 |
|
|
73% | 21 points | ✗ | 38.6 | -0.87 |
|
|
72% | 29 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.83 |
|
|
71% | 23 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
71% | 16 points | ✗ | 34.2 | -0.77 |
|
|
70% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 16 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 4 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.64 |
|
|
67% | 21 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
64% | 19 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.48 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 31.4 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.7 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.41 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.