Melbourne v Port Adelaide
2024-08-10 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

7.9

51

7.11

53

Port Adelaide won by 2 points

IN

Hore

Billings

Tomlinson

Salem

Fritsch

May

Bowey

Turner

Woewodin

Moniz-Wakefield

OUT

IN

Marshall

Georgiades

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		63%	12 points	✓	10.2	0.33
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	8.7	0.30
		75%	22 points	✓	19.9	0.58
		72%	21 points	✓	19.0	0.53
		71%	19 points	✓	17.4	0.50
		71%	19 points	✓	17.0	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	15.2	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	15.8	0.48
		69%	20 points	✓	17.7	0.47
		69%	17 points	✓	15.0	0.46
		68%	16 points	✓	14.1	0.44
		68%	18 points	✓	16.0	0.44
Punters		68%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.43
		66%	14 points	✓	12.0	0.40
		65%	11 points	✓	8.8	0.39
		64%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.36
		62%	11 points	✓	9.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	7.2	0.28
		59%	7 points	✓	4.8	0.25
		58%	7 points	✓	4.7	0.21
		57%	9 points	✓	7.0	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	3.3	0.17
		56%	4 points	✓	1.5	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	2.4	0.14
		53%	11 points	✓	9.0	0.10
		52%	2 points	✓	0.0	0.06
		51%	3 points	✓	0.5	0.04
		51%	2 points	✗	3.5	-0.04
		55%	7 points	✗	9.0	-0.15
		55%	5 points	✗	7.3	-0.16

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.