North Melbourne v West Coast
Bellerive Oval
14.13
97
15.12
102
West Coast won by 5 points
IN
Bergman
Duursma
Shiels
Stephenson
Stephens
Pink
OUT
IN
Gaff
Edwards
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.3 | -0.05 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.9 | -0.09 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
64% | 18 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.48 |
|
|
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.26 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.8 | -0.23 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.6 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.2 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 9.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.4 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | -2 points | ✗ | 2.7 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.7 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.7 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.25 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.