Adelaide v Hawthorn
Adelaide Oval
8.10
58
19.10
124
Hawthorn won by 66 points
IN
Curtin
Borlase
Hinge
Walker
Dawson
Smith
Butts
Murray
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 65.9 | 0.01 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 68.6 | -0.08 |
|
|
64% | 18 points | ✗ | 84.0 | -0.46 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 77.6 | -0.39 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 74.5 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 78.0 | -0.31 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 74.2 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 75.4 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 73.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 71.5 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 73.1 | -0.26 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 71.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 72.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 70.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.1 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | -2 points | ✗ | 64.2 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.2 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 68.3 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 69.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 67.5 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 67.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 64.8 | 0.05 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 63.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 64.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 62.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 61.7 | 0.14 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 60.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 59.8 | 0.20 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.42 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.