Adelaide v Hawthorn

Adelaide Oval
8.10
58
19.10
124

Hawthorn won by 66 points

IN
Curtin
Borlase
Hinge
Walker
Dawson
Smith
Butts
Murray
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Hawthorn
50% 0 points 65.90.01
Aggregate
Adelaide
53% 3 points 68.6-0.08
FMI
Adelaide
64% 18 points 84.0-0.46
footycharts
Adelaide
62% 12 points 77.6-0.39
Don't Blame the Data
Adelaide
60% 9 points 74.5-0.33
Graft
Adelaide
60% 12 points 78.0-0.31
Winnable
Adelaide
60% 8 points 74.2-0.31
PlusSixOne
Adelaide
59% 9 points 75.4-0.30
Elo Predicts!
Adelaide
59% 7 points 73.0-0.29
Massey Ratings
Adelaide
59% 6 points 71.5-0.27
AFLalytics
Adelaide
58% 7 points 73.1-0.26
Squiggle
Adelaide
57% 5 points 71.4-0.21
The Wooden Finger
Adelaide
56% 6 points 72.0-0.18
Live Ladders
Adelaide
54% 4 points 70.0-0.13
What Snoo Thinks
Adelaide
54% 3 points 69.1-0.12
Stattraction
Adelaide
53% -2 points 64.2-0.09
The Footycast
Adelaide
53% 3 points 69.2-0.09
The Cruncher
Adelaide
53% 2 points 68.3-0.09
Hyperion
Adelaide
53% 3 points 69.0-0.08
AFL Lab
Adelaide
52% 2 points 67.5-0.05
Matter of Stats
Adelaide
51% 1 point 67.1-0.04
AFL Scorigami
Hawthorn
52% 1 point 64.80.05
Punters
Hawthorn
52% 3 points 63.50.05
Glicko Ratings
Hawthorn
52% 2 points 64.20.06
ZaphBot
Hawthorn
53% 2 points 64.00.08
Informed Stats
Hawthorn
54% 4 points 62.00.11
Drop Kick Data
Hawthorn
55% 4 points 61.70.14
Cheap Stats
Hawthorn
57% 6 points 60.00.19
Wheelo Ratings
Hawthorn
58% 6 points 59.80.20
Data by Josh
Hawthorn
67% 15 points 51.00.42

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2024