Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G.
12.11
83
13.7
85
Greater Western Sydney won by 2 points
IN
Laurie
Turner
Gawn
Sparrow
Salem
Tholstrup
OUT
IN
Taylor
Cumming
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.9 | -0.07 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
69% | 18 points | ✗ | 19.8 | -0.70 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.5 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 8.7 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 6.8 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 5.4 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.4 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.02 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 2.2 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.3 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
56% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.