Gold Coast v Brisbane Lions
2024-07-27 16:35:00 +10:00
Carrara

9.11

65

13.15

93

Brisbane Lions won by 28 points

IN

Berry

Rosas

Witts

Sexton

Johnston

Walter

OUT

IN

Prior

Morris

McKenna

Andrews

Reville

Joyce

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		56%	6 points	✓	21.8	0.17
Aggregate		60%	10 points	✓	18.5	0.27
		74%	23 points	✓	5.5	0.56
		72%	16 points	✓	12.1	0.53
		71%	20 points	✓	8.2	0.51
		70%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	11.0	0.48
		66%	14 points	✓	14.2	0.39
		65%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.38
		65%	20 points	✓	8.0	0.37
		64%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.36
		63%	10 points	✓	18.5	0.32
		62%	12 points	✓	16.0	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	17.0	0.29
		60%	8 points	✓	19.8	0.27
		59%	8 points	✓	20.2	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	18.9	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	21.0	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	20.9	0.21
		57%	4 points	✓	24.4	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	23.0	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	23.1	0.13
		55%	4 points	✓	23.8	0.13
Punters		54%	5 points	✓	23.3	0.10
		52%	2 points	✓	26.2	0.06
		51%	1 point	✓	27.0	0.03
		51%	1 point	✓	27.2	0.03
		54%	3 points	✗	30.9	-0.12
		54%	4 points	✗	31.6	-0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.