St Kilda v Essendon

Docklands
17.6
108
8.7
55

St Kilda won by 53 points

IN
Caminiti
Henry
OUT
IN
Wright
Parish
Heppell
Goldstein
Guelfi
Kelly
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Essendon
55% 4 points 57.3-0.15
Aggregate
Essendon
53% 2 points 55.4-0.08
Data by Josh
Essendon
67% 14 points 67.0-0.60
Glicko Ratings
Essendon
66% 14 points 66.7-0.54
Drop Kick Data
Essendon
63% 12 points 64.5-0.44
Don't Blame the Data
Essendon
62% 10 points 62.6-0.40
Cheap Stats
Essendon
61% 11 points 64.0-0.36
The Cruncher
Essendon
59% 6 points 59.5-0.28
Punters
Essendon
57% 6 points 59.4-0.21
Matter of Stats
Essendon
56% 6 points 58.5-0.20
Wheelo Ratings
Essendon
55% 4 points 57.4-0.16
Hyperion
Essendon
55% 6 points 59.0-0.16
ZaphBot
Essendon
54% 3 points 56.0-0.12
Winnable
Essendon
53% 2 points 55.5-0.09
AFLalytics
Essendon
52% 2 points 54.9-0.07
What Snoo Thinks
Essendon
52% 1 point 54.4-0.05
Elo Predicts!
Essendon
51% 1 point 54.0-0.02
Stattraction
Essendon
50% 4 points 57.4-0.01
footycharts
Essendon
50% 0 points 53.10.00
Live Ladders
St Kilda
50% 0 points 53.00.01
Squiggle
St Kilda
51% 0 points 53.00.04
The Footycast
St Kilda
51% 1 point 51.70.04
AFL Scorigami
St Kilda
52% 1 point 52.00.06
AFL Lab
St Kilda
53% 2 points 50.80.08
FMI
St Kilda
53% 4 points 49.00.08
Graft
St Kilda
53% 4 points 49.00.09
PlusSixOne
St Kilda
54% 4 points 49.40.10
The Wooden Finger
St Kilda
55% 5 points 48.00.14
Informed Stats
St Kilda
55% 5 points 48.00.14
Massey Ratings
St Kilda
64% 9 points 44.50.34

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 20, 2024