St Kilda v Essendon
Docklands
17.6
108
8.7
55
St Kilda won by 53 points
IN
Caminiti
Henry
OUT
IN
Wright
Parish
Heppell
Goldstein
Guelfi
Kelly
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 57.3 | -0.15 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 55.4 | -0.08 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 67.0 | -0.60 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 66.7 | -0.54 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 64.5 | -0.44 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 62.6 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 64.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 59.5 | -0.28 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 59.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 58.5 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 57.4 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 55.5 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 54.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 54.4 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 54.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 4 points | ✗ | 57.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 53.1 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 51.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 50.8 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 49.0 | 0.09 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 49.4 | 0.10 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
64% | 9 points | ✓ | 44.5 | 0.34 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.