North Melbourne v Geelong
Bellerive Oval
![](/wp-content/themes/squiggle/assets/images/NorthMelbourne.png)
10.6
66
![](/wp-content/themes/squiggle/assets/images/Geelong.png)
16.10
106
Geelong won by 40 points
IN
Duursma
Phillips
Stephenson
Fisher
Ford
McKercher
OUT
IN
Neale
Bews
Bruhn
Bowes
Tuohy
Parfitt
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
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77% | 28 points | ✓ | 12.3 | 0.62 |
Aggregate
|
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77% | 28 points | ✓ | 12.4 | 0.62 |
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88% | 35 points | ✓ | 4.7 | 0.82 |
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88% | 43 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.81 |
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86% | 39 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.79 |
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84% | 41 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.75 |
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83% | 31 points | ✓ | 8.8 | 0.73 |
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82% | 30 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.71 |
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82% | 31 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.70 |
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81% | 36 points | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.70 |
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81% | 29 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.70 |
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81% | 32 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.70 |
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80% | 35 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.68 |
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80% | 29 points | ✓ | 10.8 | 0.68 |
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78% | 25 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.64 |
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78% | 28 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.64 |
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78% | 24 points | ✓ | 15.5 | 0.64 |
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77% | 29 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.62 |
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76% | 25 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.61 |
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76% | 25 points | ✓ | 14.6 | 0.61 |
Punters
|
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75% | 23 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.59 |
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75% | 34 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.58 |
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75% | 33 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.58 |
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75% | 23 points | ✓ | 17.3 | 0.58 |
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74% | 22 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.57 |
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71% | 23 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.51 |
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66% | 10 points | ✓ | 30.3 | 0.39 |
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65% | 13 points | ✓ | 26.5 | 0.38 |
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65% | 15 points | ✓ | 24.9 | 0.37 |
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59% | 8 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.24 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.