North Melbourne v Geelong
2024-07-27 13:45:00 +10:00
Bellerive Oval

10.6

66

16.10

106

Geelong won by 40 points

IN

Duursma

Phillips

Stephenson

Fisher

Ford

McKercher

OUT

IN

Neale

Bews

Bruhn

Bowes

Tuohy

Parfitt

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	28 points	✓	12.3	0.62
Aggregate		77%	28 points	✓	12.4	0.62
		88%	35 points	✓	4.7	0.82
		88%	43 points	✓	3.0	0.81
		86%	39 points	✓	0.9	0.79
		84%	41 points	✓	1.0	0.75
		83%	31 points	✓	8.8	0.73
		82%	30 points	✓	10.0	0.71
		82%	31 points	✓	9.5	0.70
		81%	36 points	✓	3.7	0.70
		81%	29 points	✓	11.2	0.70
		81%	32 points	✓	8.0	0.70
		80%	35 points	✓	4.8	0.68
		80%	29 points	✓	10.8	0.68
		78%	25 points	✓	15.0	0.64
		78%	28 points	✓	12.0	0.64
		78%	24 points	✓	15.5	0.64
		77%	29 points	✓	11.0	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	14.7	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	14.6	0.61
Punters		75%	23 points	✓	17.0	0.59
		75%	34 points	✓	6.0	0.58
		75%	33 points	✓	7.0	0.58
		75%	23 points	✓	17.3	0.58
		74%	22 points	✓	18.0	0.57
		71%	23 points	✓	17.0	0.51
		66%	10 points	✓	30.3	0.39
		65%	13 points	✓	26.5	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	24.9	0.37
		59%	8 points	✓	32.0	0.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.