Carlton v Port Adelaide
Docklands
9.11
65
11.13
79
Port Adelaide won by 14 points
IN
Young
Kemp
Pittonet
McGovern
De Koning
Acres
McKay
Durdin
OUT
IN
Jones
Farrell
Williams
Lord
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 27.6 | -0.45 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 26.9 | -0.47 |
|
|
74% | 19 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.95 |
|
|
72% | 22 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 23 points | ✗ | 37.4 | -0.82 |
|
|
71% | 19 points | ✗ | 33.2 | -0.80 |
|
|
71% | 14 points | ✗ | 27.7 | -0.79 |
|
|
70% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.72 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 31.3 | -0.70 |
|
|
69% | 25 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 22 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✗ | 25.9 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.4 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.3 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 14 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.32 |
|
Punters
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 22.3 | -0.31 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 22.9 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.4 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.