Greater Western Sydney v Port Adelaide
2024-06-16 16:00:00 +10:00
Sydney Showground

9.19

73

6.15

51

Greater Western Sydney won by 22 points

IN

Buckley

Kelly

Peatling

Wehr

OUT

IN

Narkle

Lord

Georgiades

Williams

Rozee

Dixon

Finlayson

Burton

Jones

Evans

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		62%	12 points	✓	10.0	0.32
Aggregate		61%	9 points	✓	12.6	0.28
		75%	20 points	✓	2.4	0.58
		70%	19 points	✓	3.0	0.49
		69%	17 points	✓	4.7	0.46
		68%	18 points	✓	4.5	0.45
		68%	16 points	✓	5.8	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	6.7	0.45
		68%	15 points	✓	7.3	0.44
		67%	18 points	✓	4.0	0.42
		66%	10 points	✓	11.9	0.41
		66%	16 points	✓	5.6	0.39
		64%	10 points	✓	12.0	0.36
Punters		64%	12 points	✓	10.2	0.36
		64%	10 points	✓	12.5	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	10.3	0.34
		63%	17 points	✓	5.0	0.33
		61%	14 points	✓	8.0	0.30
		60%	9 points	✓	12.9	0.27
		58%	7 points	✓	15.0	0.22
		57%	6 points	✓	16.0	0.19
		56%	5 points	✓	17.0	0.17
		54%	5 points	✓	17.0	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	17.9	0.11
		53%	6 points	✓	16.0	0.08
		51%	1 point	✓	21.0	0.03
		50%	7 points	✗	28.8	-0.00
		51%	3 points	✗	24.9	-0.03
		54%	3 points	✗	25.2	-0.12
		55%	6 points	✗	27.8	-0.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.