North Melbourne v Collingwood
2024-06-16 13:00:00 +10:00
Docklands

19.4

118

18.11

119

Collingwood won by 1 point

IN

Teakle

Phillips

Simpkin

Ford

OUT

IN

Jiath

McInnes

Sullivan

Bytel

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		87%	41 points	✓	40.3	0.80
Aggregate		88%	43 points	✓	41.8	0.81
		94%	57 points	✓	56.1	0.91
		93%	54 points	✓	53.0	0.90
		93%	48 points	✓	47.0	0.90
		93%	53 points	✓	52.0	0.90
		93%	44 points	✓	43.0	0.90
		92%	44 points	✓	42.6	0.88
		92%	45 points	✓	43.8	0.88
		92%	49 points	✓	48.4	0.87
		91%	53 points	✓	52.0	0.87
		91%	46 points	✓	45.0	0.86
		91%	51 points	✓	50.0	0.86
		91%	51 points	✓	50.0	0.86
		89%	43 points	✓	42.0	0.83
		89%	37 points	✓	35.5	0.82
		89%	41 points	✓	39.5	0.82
		88%	44 points	✓	42.8	0.82
		88%	58 points	✓	57.0	0.82
Punters		88%	40 points	✓	38.8	0.82
		87%	41 points	✓	40.0	0.80
		87%	36 points	✓	34.7	0.80
		87%	56 points	✓	55.0	0.79
		84%	31 points	✓	30.1	0.75
		84%	33 points	✓	32.0	0.75
		84%	35 points	✓	34.1	0.74
		83%	40 points	✓	38.7	0.73
		82%	23 points	✓	22.2	0.72
		81%	30 points	✓	29.0	0.69
		66%	16 points	✓	15.0	0.39

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.