Adelaide v Sydney
2024-06-15 19:30:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

10.7

67

16.13

109

Sydney won by 42 points

IN

Cook

Murray

Rankine

Smith

McHenry

Burgess

OUT

IN

Wicks

McLean

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	14 points	✓	27.8	0.38
Aggregate		66%	15 points	✓	27.4	0.40
		77%	26 points	✓	16.0	0.63
		74%	18 points	✓	23.7	0.56
		74%	22 points	✓	20.4	0.56
		73%	24 points	✓	18.0	0.55
Punters		72%	22 points	✓	20.5	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	23.5	0.52
		71%	12 points	✓	30.2	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	23.0	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	23.0	0.51
		71%	17 points	✓	24.9	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	24.0	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	24.0	0.46
		69%	15 points	✓	26.5	0.46
		69%	14 points	✓	28.0	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	23.1	0.44
		68%	12 points	✓	30.4	0.43
		67%	17 points	✓	25.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	27.0	0.41
		67%	18 points	✓	24.4	0.41
		65%	16 points	✓	26.0	0.38
		63%	11 points	✓	31.3	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	29.8	0.32
		59%	12 points	✓	30.0	0.25
		58%	10 points	✓	32.0	0.21
		58%	7 points	✓	35.0	0.21
		53%	2 points	✓	40.0	0.08
		51%	1 point	✓	41.2	0.02
		54%	3 points	✗	45.1	-0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.