Brisbane Lions v St Kilda
2024-06-14 19:40:00 +10:00
Gabba

19.12

126

16.10

106

Brisbane Lions won by 20 points

IN

Reville

Wilmot

OUT

IN

Schoenmaker

Jones

Caminiti

Cordy

Wanganeen-Milera

Howard

Webster

Membrey

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		80%	31 points	✓	10.7	0.67
Aggregate		79%	29 points	✓	8.5	0.66
		89%	34 points	✓	14.0	0.83
		89%	43 points	✓	23.3	0.83
		87%	41 points	✓	20.8	0.80
Punters		87%	35 points	✓	14.7	0.80
		86%	38 points	✓	18.5	0.79
		86%	35 points	✓	14.7	0.78
		84%	37 points	✓	16.6	0.75
		82%	29 points	✓	9.0	0.72
		81%	24 points	✓	4.0	0.70
		81%	28 points	✓	8.2	0.70
		81%	24 points	✓	3.5	0.69
		80%	31 points	✓	11.0	0.68
		80%	38 points	✓	18.0	0.67
		79%	29 points	✓	9.0	0.65
		79%	22 points	✓	2.3	0.65
		78%	26 points	✓	6.0	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	5.0	0.64
		77%	34 points	✓	14.0	0.62
		77%	27 points	✓	6.7	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	4.8	0.60
		76%	24 points	✓	3.9	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	4.0	0.59
		75%	17 points	✓	3.0	0.59
		73%	22 points	✓	2.0	0.55
		73%	31 points	✓	11.0	0.54
		71%	23 points	✓	2.8	0.51
		68%	20 points	✓	0.0	0.44
		64%	14 points	✓	5.7	0.35

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.