Brisbane Lions v St Kilda
Gabba
19.12
126
16.10
106
Brisbane Lions won by 20 points
IN
Reville
Wilmot
OUT
IN
Schoenmaker
Jones
Caminiti
Cordy
Wanganeen-Milera
Howard
Webster
Membrey
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
80% | 31 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.67 | |
Aggregate
|
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 8.5 | 0.66 | |
89% | 34 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.83 | ||
89% | 43 points | ✓ | 23.3 | 0.83 | ||
87% | 41 points | ✓ | 20.8 | 0.80 | ||
Punters
|
87% | 35 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.80 | |
86% | 38 points | ✓ | 18.5 | 0.79 | ||
86% | 35 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.78 | ||
84% | 37 points | ✓ | 16.6 | 0.75 | ||
82% | 29 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.72 | ||
81% | 24 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 28 points | ✓ | 8.2 | 0.70 | ||
81% | 24 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.69 | ||
80% | 31 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.68 | ||
80% | 38 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.67 | ||
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.65 | ||
79% | 22 points | ✓ | 2.3 | 0.65 | ||
78% | 26 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.65 | ||
78% | 25 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.64 | ||
77% | 34 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.62 | ||
77% | 27 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 25 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.60 | ||
76% | 24 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.60 | ||
75% | 24 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.59 | ||
75% | 17 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.59 | ||
73% | 22 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.55 | ||
73% | 31 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.54 | ||
71% | 23 points | ✓ | 2.8 | 0.51 | ||
68% | 20 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.44 | ||
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 5.7 | 0.35 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.