Richmond v Hawthorn
2024-06-15 16:35:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

6.13

49

14.13

97

Hawthorn won by 48 points

IN

Lynch

Martin

Prestia

Ryan

OUT

IN

Watson

Meek

Reeves

Mitchell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		70%	19 points	✓	29.2	0.48
Aggregate		68%	16 points	✓	31.7	0.44
		80%	28 points	✓	20.0	0.68
		77%	28 points	✓	20.2	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	25.0	0.60
		75%	22 points	✓	26.3	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	24.0	0.58
		75%	23 points	✓	24.6	0.58
		73%	20 points	✓	27.9	0.55
		73%	20 points	✓	28.4	0.55
		73%	15 points	✓	32.6	0.54
		72%	17 points	✓	31.1	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	27.8	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	29.2	0.50
		70%	22 points	✓	26.4	0.49
		70%	20 points	✓	28.0	0.49
		69%	17 points	✓	31.3	0.46
		68%	18 points	✓	30.0	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	31.9	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	33.5	0.40
Punters		65%	15 points	✓	33.5	0.39
		65%	19 points	✓	29.0	0.39
		65%	12 points	✓	35.6	0.38
		60%	11 points	✓	37.0	0.27
		59%	1 point	✓	47.0	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	39.0	0.24
		58%	7 points	✓	41.4	0.21
		58%	6 points	✓	42.5	0.20
		57%	10 points	✓	38.0	0.19
		51%	1 point	✓	46.8	0.03

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.