Western Bulldogs v Fremantle
2024-06-15 13:45:00 +10:00
Docklands

23.11

149

12.10

82

Western Bulldogs won by 67 points

IN

Scott

Weightman

Richards

Keath

McNeil

Sanders

OUT

IN

Johnson

Wagner

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		59%	8 points	✓	58.6	0.24
Aggregate		57%	7 points	✓	60.2	0.19
		70%	18 points	✓	49.1	0.48
		66%	15 points	✓	51.6	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	54.1	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	53.5	0.38
		63%	11 points	✓	56.0	0.33
		61%	11 points	✓	56.0	0.28
		61%	7 points	✓	60.5	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	58.9	0.26
		60%	13 points	✓	54.0	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	58.0	0.24
		58%	7 points	✓	60.1	0.22
		58%	9 points	✓	58.0	0.21
		58%	8 points	✓	59.4	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	61.6	0.20
		57%	6 points	✓	60.6	0.20
		57%	5 points	✓	61.7	0.18
		57%	8 points	✓	59.0	0.18
		56%	5 points	✓	61.8	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	62.0	0.16
Punters		55%	4 points	✓	63.3	0.15
		53%	3 points	✓	63.9	0.09
		52%	2 points	✓	65.2	0.06
		51%	2 points	✓	65.0	0.03
		51%	1 point	✓	66.3	0.02
		50%	5 points	✓	62.0	0.01
		50%	0 points	✗	67.0	0.00
		52%	1 point	✗	68.0	-0.06
		52%	2 points	✗	69.0	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.