Adelaide v West Coast
2024-05-26 16:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

21.11

137

5.8

38

Adelaide won by 99 points

IN

Burgess

Borlase

Schoenberg

Berry

Rankine

McHenry

Hamill

Himmelberg

OUT

IN

Maric

Yeo

Edwards

Williams

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	29 points	✓	70.4	0.63
Aggregate		79%	29 points	✓	69.8	0.66
		89%	44 points	✓	55.0	0.83
		87%	35 points	✓	63.8	0.80
		87%	34 points	✓	65.2	0.80
		85%	51 points	✓	48.0	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	64.3	0.74
		84%	47 points	✓	52.0	0.74
		84%	30 points	✓	69.5	0.74
		83%	32 points	✓	66.7	0.74
		83%	32 points	✓	67.0	0.73
		82%	29 points	✓	70.3	0.70
Punters		81%	26 points	✓	72.8	0.69
		79%	30 points	✓	69.0	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	71.0	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	72.0	0.64
		78%	24 points	✓	75.2	0.63
		77%	26 points	✓	73.2	0.62
		76%	19 points	✓	80.3	0.61
		76%	29 points	✓	69.8	0.61
		76%	25 points	✓	74.1	0.61
		76%	23 points	✓	76.0	0.60
		76%	24 points	✓	75.0	0.60
		75%	31 points	✓	68.0	0.58
		75%	22 points	✓	77.0	0.58
		75%	24 points	✓	74.9	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	76.0	0.57
		74%	24 points	✓	75.5	0.57
		73%	25 points	✓	74.0	0.55
		69%	20 points	✓	79.2	0.46

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.