Geelong v Greater Western Sydney
Kardinia Park
11.8
74
11.12
78
Greater Western Sydney won by 4 points
IN
Mullin
De Koning
Duncan
Hawkins
Cameron
Guthrie
O'Connor
Rohan
Parfitt
Neale
OUT
IN
McMullin
Aleer
Angwin
Peatling
Riccardi
Buckley
Ward
Cadman
Jones
Stone
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.50 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.9 | -0.38 |
|
|
74% | 24 points | ✗ | 27.8 | -0.96 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -0.94 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.80 |
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.80 |
|
Punters
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.64 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 18.6 | -0.56 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.2 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.39 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.7 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 15 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.4 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 12.6 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.30 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.7 | -0.29 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 7 points | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.13 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.06 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.