Carlton v Gold Coast
2024-05-25 13:45:00 +10:00
Docklands

15.12

102

11.7

73

Carlton won by 29 points

IN

Cowan

Williams

Fogarty

Saad

Pittonet

Durdin

Marchbank

Fantasia

OUT

IN

Walter

Rogers

Uwland

Holman

Witts

Flanders

Fiorini

Jeffrey

Day

Moyle

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		64%	14 points	✓	15.4	0.36
Aggregate		63%	12 points	✓	16.6	0.34
		75%	24 points	✓	5.0	0.58
		72%	20 points	✓	9.4	0.52
		69%	17 points	✓	11.9	0.46
		69%	25 points	✓	4.0	0.46
Punters		68%	16 points	✓	13.2	0.44
		68%	14 points	✓	14.9	0.44
		66%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.40
		66%	16 points	✓	13.0	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	16.2	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	15.5	0.38
		64%	11 points	✓	17.6	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	18.5	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	17.1	0.34
		63%	18 points	✓	11.0	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	16.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	18.0	0.33
		62%	16 points	✓	13.0	0.32
		62%	2 points	✓	27.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	19.9	0.28
		60%	10 points	✓	19.1	0.27
		60%	10 points	✓	18.9	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	21.0	0.25
		59%	6 points	✓	23.3	0.25
		58%	7 points	✓	21.7	0.22
		58%	6 points	✓	22.7	0.21
		58%	8 points	✓	21.2	0.21
		57%	8 points	✓	21.1	0.19
		57%	7 points	✓	22.0	0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.