Western Bulldogs v Sydney
Docklands
12.16
88
16.6
102
Sydney won by 14 points
IN
Sanders
Gallagher
Scott
Garcia
O'Donnell
Cleary
OUT
IN
Roberts
Fox
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.03 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.9 | 0.08 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.41 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
62% | 0 points | ✓ | 13.6 | 0.30 |
|
Punters
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.25 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.8 | 0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.2 | 0.15 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.1 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.13 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 11.7 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 14.7 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 15.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 17.3 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.7 | -0.13 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 17.7 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.5 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.