Richmond v Essendon
2024-05-25 19:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

10.14

74

12.14

86

Essendon won by 12 points

IN

Campbell

Cumberland

Baker

Young

Mansell

Coulthard

OUT

IN

Caddy

Cox

Ridley

Hind

Shiel

Hobbs

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		74%	25 points	✓	12.7	0.57
Aggregate		74%	23 points	✓	10.9	0.56
		85%	39 points	✓	27.0	0.77
Punters		85%	35 points	✓	23.3	0.77
		84%	32 points	✓	20.3	0.76
		83%	31 points	✓	19.0	0.73
		82%	25 points	✓	12.6	0.71
		82%	32 points	✓	20.0	0.71
		80%	30 points	✓	18.3	0.68
		79%	29 points	✓	17.0	0.66
		78%	32 points	✓	19.8	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	14.4	0.63
		77%	26 points	✓	14.4	0.62
		77%	26 points	✓	14.0	0.62
		76%	21 points	✓	9.2	0.61
		76%	34 points	✓	22.0	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	11.5	0.59
		75%	23 points	✓	10.8	0.58
		75%	21 points	✓	8.7	0.58
		73%	23 points	✓	11.0	0.54
		70%	18 points	✓	5.7	0.48
		69%	16 points	✓	3.8	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	4.0	0.46
		68%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	4.3	0.42
		65%	16 points	✓	4.0	0.38
		64%	11 points	✓	1.5	0.34
		62%	16 points	✓	4.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	2.6	0.28
		54%	4 points	✓	8.0	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.