Hawthorn v Brisbane Lions
Docklands
15.10
100
10.15
75
Hawthorn won by 25 points
IN
Gunston
Hardwick
Scrimshaw
Sicily
Macdonald
Serong
Watson
Phillips
OUT
IN
Ryan
Bailey
Hipwood
Brain
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 33.3 | -0.26 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 37.2 | -0.43 |
|
|
79% | 25 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -1.26 |
|
|
75% | 23 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 22 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 42.5 | -0.86 |
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.72 |
|
|
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 23 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 41.4 | -0.61 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 20 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.57 |
|
Punters
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 38.7 | -0.52 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.51 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 37.2 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 33.9 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 5 points | ✗ | 30.3 | -0.30 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 31.3 | -0.25 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 28.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 27.4 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 23.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 19.9 | 0.16 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.