Collingwood v Hawthorn
2024-04-07 17:10:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

11.11

77

11.6

72

Collingwood won by 5 points

IN

Sidebottom

Crisp

Cox

Macrae

OUT

IN

Ramsden

Butler

Mitchell

Maginness

Breust

Macdonald

Lewis

Morrison

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	21 points	✓	16.4	0.51
Aggregate		71%	20 points	✓	14.8	0.50
Punters		81%	28 points	✓	23.0	0.69
		81%	27 points	✓	21.5	0.69
		78%	23 points	✓	18.4	0.63
		77%	37 points	✓	32.0	0.63
		77%	30 points	✓	25.0	0.62
		76%	27 points	✓	22.0	0.61
		76%	20 points	✓	15.0	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	20.0	0.58
		74%	33 points	✓	28.0	0.57
		74%	22 points	✓	17.4	0.56
		73%	20 points	✓	15.0	0.55
		73%	18 points	✓	12.9	0.54
		73%	15 points	✓	10.4	0.54
		72%	20 points	✓	14.6	0.54
		72%	20 points	✓	14.8	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	15.4	0.51
		70%	25 points	✓	20.0	0.49
		70%	10 points	✓	5.0	0.48
		67%	16 points	✓	10.8	0.43
		67%	15 points	✓	9.7	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	10.0	0.40
		65%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.37
		64%	16 points	✓	10.8	0.36
		63%	14 points	✓	9.2	0.32
		63%	10 points	✓	5.2	0.32
		60%	10 points	✓	5.4	0.27
		58%	9 points	✓	4.0	0.21

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.