Port Adelaide v Essendon
2024-04-05 20:10:00 +11:00
Adelaide Oval

17.9

111

6.6

42

Port Adelaide won by 69 points

IN

Horne-Francis

Wines

OUT

IN

Setterfield

Perkins

Stringer

Durham

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		75%	27 points	✓	42.3	0.59
Aggregate		75%	25 points	✓	43.7	0.59
		85%	39 points	✓	30.0	0.77
		84%	36 points	✓	33.0	0.75
		83%	34 points	✓	35.0	0.73
		82%	42 points	✓	26.6	0.72
		82%	29 points	✓	40.0	0.71
		81%	29 points	✓	40.0	0.70
		80%	31 points	✓	37.6	0.68
Punters		79%	31 points	✓	37.7	0.67
		79%	26 points	✓	42.8	0.67
		79%	26 points	✓	42.7	0.66
		78%	24 points	✓	44.6	0.65
		77%	25 points	✓	43.8	0.62
		76%	25 points	✓	43.8	0.60
		75%	24 points	✓	45.4	0.59
		75%	24 points	✓	45.1	0.59
		74%	33 points	✓	36.0	0.57
		74%	19 points	✓	49.8	0.56
		74%	22 points	✓	46.7	0.56
		74%	22 points	✓	47.5	0.56
		72%	15 points	✓	54.5	0.53
		71%	16 points	✓	53.0	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	50.0	0.51
		71%	22 points	✓	46.7	0.50
		70%	27 points	✓	42.0	0.49
		69%	24 points	✓	45.0	0.46
		63%	14 points	✓	55.4	0.34
		63%	19 points	✓	50.0	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	58.0	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.