Gold Coast v Greater Western Sydney
2024-04-07 12:30:00 +10:00
Adelaide Hills

13.11

89

18.9

117

Greater Western Sydney won by 28 points

IN

Clohesy

Graham

Read

Andrew

Humphrey

Rosas

Witts

Ellis

Long

Casboult

Budarick

Sexton

Uwland

Moyle

OUT

IN

Peatling

Cadman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.41
Aggregate		67%	16 points	✓	12.2	0.43
		84%	33 points	✓	5.0	0.75
		81%	26 points	✓	2.5	0.69
		78%	27 points	✓	1.0	0.64
		77%	19 points	✓	8.6	0.62
		77%	23 points	✓	5.4	0.62
		75%	24 points	✓	4.4	0.58
Punters		74%	22 points	✓	6.4	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	6.1	0.55
		72%	20 points	✓	8.3	0.52
		71%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	9.0	0.50
		70%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.48
		70%	12 points	✓	15.5	0.48
		67%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	14.0	0.41
		66%	21 points	✓	7.0	0.40
		66%	15 points	✓	13.0	0.40
		64%	14 points	✓	14.0	0.36
		63%	14 points	✓	14.0	0.33
		61%	9 points	✓	19.1	0.28
		60%	13 points	✓	15.0	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	19.0	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	18.8	0.24
		58%	7 points	✓	21.5	0.20
		57%	7 points	✓	20.7	0.18
		57%	7 points	✓	21.5	0.18
		56%	3 points	✓	24.6	0.16
		53%	3 points	✓	25.1	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.