Adelaide v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
8.15
63
10.18
78
Melbourne won by 15 points
IN
Nankervis
Parnell
Butts
Berry
Murphy
Sholl
Pedlar
Borlase
OUT
IN
Sparrow
May
Brown
Hore
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 8.1 | 0.20 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 8.9 | 0.19 |
|
|
75% | 25 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.59 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✓ | 0.4 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 4.1 | 0.35 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
63% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.32 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.32 |
|
|
62% | 5 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.31 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 5.1 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.6 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.9 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.22 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.9 | 0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.5 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.3 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 11.7 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 14.4 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 16.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 16.6 | -0.05 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.09 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.