Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne
2024-04-05 17:10:00 +11:00
Norwood Oval

16.16

112

6.6

42

Brisbane Lions won by 70 points

IN

Tunstill

Lohmann

Gardiner

Fort

Robertson

Answerth

OUT

IN

Comben

Ford

Shiels

Greenwood

Coleman-Jones

Lazzaro

Pink

Duursma

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		80%	33 points	✓	36.8	0.69
Aggregate		81%	34 points	✓	36.3	0.70
		91%	41 points	✓	29.0	0.86
		90%	52 points	✓	18.0	0.84
		89%	44 points	✓	26.0	0.83
Punters		87%	44 points	✓	26.0	0.81
		86%	40 points	✓	30.0	0.78
		85%	35 points	✓	35.5	0.77
		85%	41 points	✓	29.0	0.76
		85%	36 points	✓	34.5	0.76
		84%	36 points	✓	34.1	0.75
		83%	44 points	✓	26.1	0.74
		83%	40 points	✓	30.2	0.73
		83%	48 points	✓	22.0	0.73
		82%	29 points	✓	41.5	0.71
		81%	30 points	✓	40.0	0.70
		81%	38 points	✓	32.0	0.70
		81%	31 points	✓	39.0	0.70
		81%	29 points	✓	41.0	0.70
		81%	28 points	✓	41.9	0.70
		80%	31 points	✓	39.2	0.69
		80%	43 points	✓	27.0	0.69
		80%	28 points	✓	42.2	0.68
		80%	29 points	✓	40.6	0.68
		79%	28 points	✓	41.9	0.66
		75%	28 points	✓	42.0	0.59
		72%	21 points	✓	48.6	0.53
		71%	22 points	✓	48.0	0.51
		69%	13 points	✓	57.3	0.46
		65%	15 points	✓	54.7	0.37

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.