Western Bulldogs v Geelong

Adelaide Oval
14.7
91
14.11
95

Geelong won by 4 points

IN
Richards
Macrae
Poulter
Darcy
OUT
IN
Dempsey
Stanley
Tuohy
Guthrie
Mullin
Conway
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Western Bulldogs
50% 0 points 4.0-0.01
Aggregate
Geelong
51% 1 point 2.90.02
Winnable
Geelong
62% 10 points 6.00.30
Hyperion
Geelong
60% 9 points 5.00.26
Graft
Geelong
57% 9 points 5.00.19
Cheap Stats
Geelong
57% 6 points 2.00.19
Elo Predicts!
Geelong
56% 10 points 6.00.16
FMI
Geelong
55% 7 points 3.00.14
Informed Stats
Geelong
54% 4 points 0.00.11
The Wooden Finger
Geelong
54% 3 points 1.00.11
Live Ladders
Geelong
54% 3 points 1.00.10
ZaphBot
Geelong
53% 2 points 2.00.08
Stattraction
Geelong
53% 2 points 2.30.07
Wheelo Ratings
Geelong
52% 2 points 2.10.07
Don't Blame the Data
Geelong
52% 0 points 3.90.06
AFL Lab
Geelong
52% 2 points 1.70.06
Massey Ratings
Geelong
52% 2 points 2.50.04
The Footycast
Geelong
50% 0 points 3.60.01
Punters
Geelong
50% 2 points 2.40.01
footycharts
Western Bulldogs
50% 1 point 5.00.00
Squiggle
Western Bulldogs
50% 0 points 4.0-0.00
What Snoo Thinks
Western Bulldogs
51% 0 points 4.4-0.02
PlusSixOne
Western Bulldogs
51% 1 point 4.9-0.03
AFLalytics
Western Bulldogs
53% 3 points 6.6-0.09
The Cruncher
Western Bulldogs
55% 3 points 7.5-0.14
Data by Josh
Western Bulldogs
55% 5 points 9.0-0.15
Matter of Stats
Western Bulldogs
55% 5 points 8.8-0.17
AFL Scorigami
Western Bulldogs
56% 4 points 8.1-0.18
Glicko Ratings
Western Bulldogs
59% 7 points 11.4-0.28
Drop Kick Data
Western Bulldogs
65% 13 points 17.0-0.50

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2024