Western Bulldogs v Geelong
Adelaide Oval
14.7
91
14.11
95
Geelong won by 4 points
IN
Richards
Macrae
Poulter
Darcy
OUT
IN
Dempsey
Stanley
Tuohy
Guthrie
Mullin
Conway
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.01 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.02 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.30 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.3 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 3.6 | 0.01 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 5.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 4.4 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 4.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 6.6 | -0.09 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.5 | -0.14 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 8.1 | -0.18 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.4 | -0.28 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.50 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.