Port Adelaide v Greater Western Sydney
2023-08-13 16:40:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

21.10

136

13.7

85

Port Adelaide won by 51 points

IN

Hayes

Jones

Bergman

Farrell

Aliir

Finlayson

Boak

Bonner

McKenzie

Burgoyne

Evans

Visentini

OUT

IN

McMullin

Fahey

Bedford

Daniels

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	15 points	✓	36.0	0.40
Aggregate		65%	15 points	✓	36.0	0.39
		82%	28 points	✓	23.0	0.71
		77%	27 points	✓	24.0	0.63
		77%	27 points	✓	23.6	0.63
		75%	24 points	✓	26.6	0.58
		73%	22 points	✓	29.3	0.55
		71%	9 points	✓	42.0	0.51
		69%	17 points	✓	34.0	0.47
		68%	20 points	✓	31.0	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	35.0	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	36.5	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	37.5	0.41
		66%	17 points	✓	33.8	0.41
		66%	22 points	✓	29.0	0.40
Punters		65%	12 points	✓	39.4	0.37
		64%	19 points	✓	32.0	0.36
		63%	14 points	✓	37.5	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	40.6	0.33
		62%	15 points	✓	36.0	0.30
		60%	8 points	✓	42.8	0.26
		59%	6 points	✓	44.8	0.25
		56%	5 points	✓	45.7	0.17
		55%	5 points	✓	46.4	0.15
		55%	4 points	✓	46.8	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	47.0	0.11
		53%	16 points	✓	35.1	0.08

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.