Collingwood v Geelong
M.C.G.
16.13
109
15.11
101
Collingwood won by 8 points
IN
Frampton
Markov
Hoskin-Elliott
Daicos
Sidebottom
Johnson
OUT
IN
Neale
Henry
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.2 | 0.11 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.09 |
|
|
65% | 8 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 12 points | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.31 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 2.2 | 0.31 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 0.9 | 0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.20 |
|
Punters
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.19 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.1 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 5.1 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 6.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 9.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 0 points | ✗ | 8.4 | -0.08 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 12.9 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 14.1 | -0.20 |
|
|
59% | -5 points | ✗ | 2.9 | -0.28 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.