Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs
York Park
9.13
67
9.10
64
Hawthorn won by 3 points
IN
Grainger-Barras
Amon
Mitchell
Ryan
OUT
IN
Jones
Keath
Scott
Johannisen
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✗ | 15.6 | -0.48 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.57 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 26.6 | -1.03 |
|
|
74% | 24 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.97 |
|
|
74% | 26 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
73% | 21 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 26.8 | -0.85 |
|
|
72% | 19 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.85 |
|
|
71% | 22 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
69% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.69 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 18.5 | -0.62 |
|
Punters
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.59 |
|
|
67% | 21 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.59 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 16.1 | -0.55 |
|
|
65% | 13 points | ✗ | 16.4 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 9 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.50 |
|
|
65% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.49 |
|
|
64% | 18 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.5 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.42 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.6 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 14.3 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.6 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 10.9 | -0.29 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.