Brisbane Lions v Adelaide
2023-08-12 16:35:00 +10:00
Gabba

15.9

99

13.15

93

Brisbane Lions won by 6 points

IN

Robertson

McInerney

Fort

Fletcher

OUT

IN

Pedlar

Sloane

Jones

Rachele

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		69%	18 points	✓	11.5	0.47
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	10.8	0.44
		83%	34 points	✓	28.0	0.73
		77%	27 points	✓	20.7	0.62
		75%	24 points	✓	17.6	0.58
		75%	23 points	✓	17.4	0.58
Punters		74%	21 points	✓	14.7	0.57
		74%	20 points	✓	14.0	0.57
		74%	21 points	✓	15.0	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	16.5	0.55
		70%	18 points	✓	12.1	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	10.7	0.48
		69%	16 points	✓	9.9	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	9.5	0.45
		68%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.45
		67%	15 points	✓	9.0	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	8.2	0.41
		66%	15 points	✓	9.0	0.40
		65%	20 points	✓	14.0	0.38
		65%	20 points	✓	14.0	0.38
		65%	15 points	✓	8.9	0.37
		64%	15 points	✓	8.5	0.36
		62%	15 points	✓	9.1	0.31
		61%	14 points	✓	8.0	0.29
		61%	12 points	✓	6.0	0.29
		56%	4 points	✓	2.0	0.17
		57%	6 points	✗	11.9	-0.23

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.