St Kilda v Richmond
Docklands
14.9
93
8.9
57
St Kilda won by 36 points
IN
Stocker
Membrey
Ross
Clark
Byrnes
Caminiti
OUT
IN
Dow
Grimes
Martin
Hopper
Cumberland
Banks
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 34.8 | 0.04 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 35.8 | 0.00 |
|
|
65% | 12 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.38 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 31.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 32.4 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.17 |
|
|
55% | 9 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 31.4 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.11 |
|
Punters
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 33.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 32.1 | 0.07 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 6 points | ✗ | 42.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 36.4 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 37.9 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 38.4 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✗ | 37.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 38.4 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 37.7 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 38.3 | -0.11 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 40.6 | -0.18 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 42.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 46.1 | -0.42 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.