North Melbourne v Essendon
2023-08-12 13:45:00 +10:00
Docklands

12.5

77

13.8

86

Essendon won by 9 points

IN

Wardlaw

Cunnington

Phillips

Hansen Jr

OUT

IN

Baldwin

Caldwell

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		72%	20 points	✓	11.1	0.52
Aggregate		74%	23 points	✓	14.3	0.57
		90%	25 points	✓	16.0	0.85
		86%	41 points	✓	32.0	0.79
		85%	39 points	✓	30.4	0.77
		85%	27 points	✓	18.1	0.77
		82%	31 points	✓	22.3	0.71
		82%	30 points	✓	20.9	0.71
		77%	24 points	✓	15.0	0.62
		76%	28 points	✓	19.0	0.60
		74%	33 points	✓	24.0	0.57
		74%	26 points	✓	17.3	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	12.0	0.55
		73%	22 points	✓	13.0	0.55
		73%	21 points	✓	12.0	0.55
Punters		72%	20 points	✓	11.2	0.54
		71%	23 points	✓	14.0	0.51
		71%	20 points	✓	10.9	0.50
		71%	17 points	✓	7.9	0.50
		71%	19 points	✓	9.5	0.50
		70%	16 points	✓	7.4	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	7.8	0.47
		69%	17 points	✓	8.2	0.46
		68%	23 points	✓	14.0	0.44
		66%	17 points	✓	8.0	0.41
		66%	11 points	✓	1.6	0.41
		65%	13 points	✓	4.0	0.39

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.