Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney
Traeger Park
5.15
45
7.5
47
Greater Western Sydney won by 2 points
IN
Brown
Harmes
Bowey
Jordon
Hibberd
van Rooyen
OUT
IN
Hogan
Cumming
Whitfield
Cadman
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.72 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
72% | 21 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.82 |
|
|
90% | 49 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -2.37 |
|
|
82% | 38 points | ✗ | 39.5 | -1.47 |
|
|
81% | 28 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -1.36 |
|
|
79% | 28 points | ✗ | 29.7 | -1.26 |
|
|
79% | 26 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -1.23 |
|
|
77% | 23 points | ✗ | 24.9 | -1.14 |
|
|
77% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -1.11 |
|
|
74% | 24 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.93 |
|
|
73% | 25 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.89 |
|
|
71% | 18 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.77 |
|
|
70% | 27 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 25 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.74 |
|
|
70% | 20 points | ✗ | 21.6 | -0.72 |
|
Punters
|
|
69% | 15 points | ✗ | 17.2 | -0.71 |
|
|
69% | 17 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.69 |
|
|
69% | 20 points | ✗ | 21.5 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 17 points | ✗ | 19.4 | -0.66 |
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✗ | 16.9 | -0.64 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 16.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✗ | 18.7 | -0.55 |
|
|
66% | 19 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.54 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 12.3 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.30 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.