Hawthorn v Carlton
2023-07-02 13:10:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

7.10

52

17.10

112

Carlton won by 60 points

IN

Greene

Butler

Ward

Wingard

Morrison

Impey

Bramble

Koschitzke

Brockman

Mackenzie

OUT

IN

Curnow

Silvagni

Young

De Koning

Cottrell

Pittonet

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	13 points	✓	46.6	0.38
Aggregate		65%	14 points	✓	46.1	0.39
		71%	19 points	✓	41.0	0.51
Punters		71%	19 points	✓	40.9	0.51
		71%	19 points	✓	41.5	0.50
		71%	19 points	✓	41.1	0.50
		70%	21 points	✓	39.0	0.49
		70%	17 points	✓	42.6	0.48
		70%	16 points	✓	44.1	0.48
		69%	16 points	✓	43.9	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	44.8	0.44
		67%	12 points	✓	47.5	0.43
		67%	23 points	✓	37.0	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	46.2	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	46.2	0.41
		65%	10 points	✓	50.2	0.38
		65%	14 points	✓	45.9	0.37
		64%	18 points	✓	42.0	0.37
		64%	11 points	✓	49.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	48.0	0.35
		63%	6 points	✓	54.0	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	48.6	0.34
		62%	11 points	✓	49.0	0.30
		60%	10 points	✓	49.9	0.26
		59%	10 points	✓	50.5	0.25
		56%	6 points	✓	54.0	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	55.5	0.12

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.