Essendon v Port Adelaide
2023-07-01 19:25:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

10.14

74

11.12

78

Port Adelaide won by 4 points

IN

Menzie

Bryan

OUT

IN

Visentini

Bonner

Lycett

Sinn

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		63%	12 points	✓	7.9	0.34
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	6.5	0.31
		72%	19 points	✓	14.6	0.52
		69%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.46
		68%	17 points	✓	13.2	0.45
		68%	19 points	✓	15.2	0.45
		67%	17 points	✓	13.0	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	10.5	0.41
		66%	13 points	✓	9.3	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	8.8	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	10.0	0.38
Punters		65%	13 points	✓	9.4	0.38
		65%	11 points	✓	7.3	0.37
		64%	14 points	✓	9.8	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	7.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	6.6	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	7.0	0.32
		61%	7 points	✓	3.2	0.28
		61%	9 points	✓	5.1	0.28
		59%	7 points	✓	3.0	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	3.5	0.23
		58%	8 points	✓	3.7	0.20
		56%	8 points	✓	4.0	0.16
		55%	7 points	✓	3.0	0.15
		54%	1 point	✓	3.0	0.11
		52%	1 point	✗	5.0	-0.06
		53%	3 points	✗	7.4	-0.10

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.