Adelaide v North Melbourne
2023-07-01 13:45:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

21.12

138

11.6

72

Adelaide won by 66 points

IN

McHenry

Sholl

OUT

IN

Bergman

Tucker

Davies-Uniacke

Greenwood

Powell

Spicer

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		88%	41 points	✓	24.7	0.82
Aggregate		87%	42 points	✓	24.4	0.81
		94%	30 points	✓	36.0	0.91
		93%	52 points	✓	14.4	0.89
Punters		93%	46 points	✓	19.8	0.89
		92%	52 points	✓	14.0	0.88
		91%	43 points	✓	23.0	0.86
		90%	51 points	✓	15.2	0.85
		90%	48 points	✓	18.0	0.85
		90%	40 points	✓	26.4	0.85
		89%	48 points	✓	18.0	0.83
		89%	41 points	✓	25.0	0.83
		89%	38 points	✓	28.3	0.82
		88%	43 points	✓	22.7	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	23.5	0.82
		88%	41 points	✓	24.9	0.81
		88%	40 points	✓	26.5	0.81
		87%	37 points	✓	28.9	0.81
		86%	55 points	✓	11.0	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	27.1	0.78
		86%	28 points	✓	38.1	0.78
		85%	43 points	✓	23.1	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	31.2	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	31.2	0.75
		80%	51 points	✓	15.0	0.68
		80%	33 points	✓	33.0	0.68
		76%	29 points	✓	36.6	0.61

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.