Brisbane Lions v Richmond
2023-06-29 19:20:00 +10:00
Gabba

20.14

134

7.11

53

Brisbane Lions won by 81 points

IN

Ah Chee

Lohmann

OUT

IN

Cumberland

Hopper

Pickett

Prestia

Martin

Rioli

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		71%	19 points	✓	61.7	0.50
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	63.8	0.45
		76%	23 points	✓	58.0	0.60
Punters		75%	22 points	✓	58.6	0.59
		75%	25 points	✓	56.1	0.59
		74%	24 points	✓	57.2	0.57
		72%	19 points	✓	62.0	0.53
		72%	19 points	✓	62.2	0.52
		72%	10 points	✓	71.0	0.52
		72%	19 points	✓	61.8	0.52
		71%	19 points	✓	62.3	0.51
		71%	21 points	✓	60.0	0.51
		71%	18 points	✓	63.4	0.50
		70%	17 points	✓	64.5	0.48
		69%	17 points	✓	64.0	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	66.0	0.43
		67%	18 points	✓	62.9	0.43
		67%	22 points	✓	59.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	66.2	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	66.0	0.42
		66%	21 points	✓	60.0	0.40
		64%	13 points	✓	68.3	0.35
		63%	15 points	✓	66.3	0.34
		63%	17 points	✓	64.0	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	67.7	0.33
		60%	6 points	✓	75.3	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	72.0	0.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.