Gold Coast v Collingwood
2023-07-01 16:35:00 +10:00
Carrara

5.12

42

18.12

120

Collingwood won by 78 points

IN

Frampton

McCreery

Johnson

Harrison

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		52%	2 points	✓	76.4	0.05
Aggregate		55%	5 points	✓	73.3	0.14
		74%	23 points	✓	55.0	0.56
		66%	9 points	✓	69.0	0.39
		64%	12 points	✓	65.7	0.36
		64%	14 points	✓	64.0	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	67.5	0.34
		61%	9 points	✓	68.8	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	70.3	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	68.9	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	70.0	0.24
Punters		57%	6 points	✓	72.2	0.19
		56%	8 points	✓	70.0	0.16
		54%	5 points	✓	72.8	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	74.5	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	74.8	0.11
		54%	3 points	✓	75.0	0.10
		53%	2 points	✓	76.0	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	76.0	0.08
		51%	1 point	✓	76.7	0.04
		50%	0 points	✓	78.0	0.00
		51%	2 points	✗	80.0	-0.04
		53%	2 points	✗	80.3	-0.08
		54%	2 points	✗	80.4	-0.12
		55%	4 points	✗	82.0	-0.15
		55%	4 points	✗	82.0	-0.16
		57%	5 points	✗	83.2	-0.20

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.