Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval
14.11
95
10.18
78
Adelaide won by 17 points
IN
Worrell
Thilthorpe
McHenry
Doedee
Walker
Smith
Hinge
Himmelberg
Parnell
Gollant
OUT
IN
Gardiner
Rich
Payne
Sharp
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.29 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.29 |
|
|
67% | 14 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -0.59 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 31.4 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.57 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -0.53 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.49 |
|
|
62% | 15 points | ✗ | 32.2 | -0.41 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 27.4 | -0.40 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 28.0 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.8 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 10 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 22.3 | -0.20 |
|
Punters
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.19 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.13 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.04 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 14.7 | 0.08 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.