Richmond v Port Adelaide
M.C.G.
9.13
67
10.17
77
Port Adelaide won by 10 points
IN
Young
Miller
Vlastuin
Dow
OUT
IN
Mead
Jones
Rioli
Boak
Jonas
Evans
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.2 | -0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 13.9 | -0.13 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 22.4 | -0.47 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 21.3 | -0.44 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.44 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 14.8 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.4 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 11.7 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 13.1 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 10.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 10.3 | -0.01 |
|
Punters
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 8.6 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 9.6 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 9.7 | 0.02 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.