Sydney v Carlton
2023-05-26 19:50:00 +10:00
S.C.G.

11.11

77

6.15

51

Sydney won by 26 points

IN

Melican

Wicks

Hickey

Ladhams

Stephens

Gould

OUT

IN

Kemp

De Koning

Hewett

Young

Silvagni

Curnow

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		58%	7 points	✓	18.9	0.23
Aggregate		60%	9 points	✓	16.8	0.27
		78%	21 points	✓	5.0	0.64
		77%	27 points	✓	1.0	0.62
		72%	21 points	✓	5.2	0.52
		68%	14 points	✓	11.8	0.43
		65%	13 points	✓	13.0	0.39
		65%	20 points	✓	6.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	14.5	0.36
		64%	11 points	✓	15.5	0.34
		63%	13 points	✓	12.8	0.33
		62%	13 points	✓	13.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	16.5	0.30
		60%	8 points	✓	18.0	0.26
		59%	10 points	✓	16.4	0.25
		59%	12 points	✓	14.0	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	17.0	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	18.4	0.23
		58%	6 points	✓	19.8	0.21
		55%	-2 points	✓	28.1	0.14
		55%	4 points	✓	22.0	0.13
		54%	4 points	✓	22.5	0.12
		54%	3 points	✓	22.9	0.10
		53%	2 points	✓	24.3	0.08
		53%	2 points	✓	23.6	0.07
Punters		53%	3 points	✗	29.0	-0.07
		57%	6 points	✗	32.0	-0.22

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.